Process in the past
Go into ARM to get cost impact analysis results.
Then reach out to project control groups to get schedule impact analysis from Acumen
Give project team the combined results
Process now
Key input is the resource loaded schedule (fully burdened cost), comply with DoE guidance, proabablistic cash flows, JCL
ARM solution is not the bottleneck, getting data out and into Safran not a burden the hard work is in the schedule (IMS) and resource loaded components of that.
Inputs into SRA and risk time and cost, plus resource costs from schedule.
NNSA really like to see output of probabilistic cash flow, e.g. I need x funding for y year at z percentile.
A simpler option to consider (... There are different levels to this stuff)
No reliance on resource loaded schedule = simpler model.
Fixed rate per hour/day x time aspect of risks, plus risk cost impact for the different percentiles.
Time dependent costs
[IS - assumption is that cost impact of risk does not related to the time/cost aspect, it's the other costs associated with the risk materializing. Needs validation speak to Bryan.Wright@srs.gov]
5 days activity delay = $40, impact on top $66. total = $106
From integration perspective what information could be bring back from Safran into ARM through integration?:
Add somewhere on the risk where sensitivity value output for risks can be imported from Safran. Impact and percentile. Then report a report to show level of severity vs analysis output vs what we're putting in - what really were the big risks and focus time effort on those.
